Consumers would be poised to spend their money and keep some at their bank of choice, including Bank of America, which has a sizable share of the consumer market in terms of deposits.The idea is this would allow Bank of America to have liquidity, in order to loan more money. The connected car market is a large and growing opportunity for the Company, and we are looking to add additional partners beyond FCA and Jeep," Kagan said in Globalstar's Q3 business update.UTStarcom Holdings (NASDAQ: UTSI)Another one of the 5G penny stocks to watch is UTStarcom (NASDAQ: UTSI). Description: We use past values of the slope of the yield curve and GDP growth to provide predictions of future GDP growth and the probability that the economy will fall into a recession over the next year. Ahead of the last recession, the yield curve inverted briefly as early as December 27, 2005, about two years before the financial crisis sent the economy into recession. Maybe, suggests this strategist after seeing insane action in one stock following a tweet from Tesla CEO Elon Musk. This method provides a real yield for a 10 year maturity, for example, even if no outstanding security has exactly 10 years remaining to maturity. Markets ended 2020 on a high note, and have started 2021 on a bullish trajectory. In 1986, Duke University finance professor Campbell Harvey wrote his dissertation exploring the concept of using the yield curve to forecast recessions. The accompanying chart shows two yield curves. The company priced the initial offering at $20 – but interest was strong and the stock opened at more than $25. Investing legend Whitney Tilson says there's a huge new tech trend coming – and he's revealing his #1 pick for free. The yield curve is one of the best leading economic indicators and is misunderstood by most investors and economists. failed to predict recessions in 1954 and 1965, Gold Halts Losing Run as Investors Weigh Dollar, Biden Stimulus, Indonesia uses unmanned undersea vehicle in hunt for air crash victims, 'black boxes', Malaysia Declares State of Emergency as Pandemic Worsens, Trump Sparks a Crisis for His Business Empire Just Before Returning to It, Oil Steady Near $52 With IEA Signaling Possible U.S. Shale Boost, Elon Musk tweet sends this stock up 1,500% in 24 hours — may be a sign of market bubble, The World’s Next Giant Oil Discovery Could Be Here, "Little-Known Tech" Behind Electric Vehicle Boom, Elon Musk Told Twitter to 'Use Signal.' --- Written by Christopher Vecchio, CFA, Senior Currency Strategist. At the current dividend rate, the yield is 9.5%, far higher than the average among financial sector peer companies.Analyst Craig Kucera, of B. Riley, believes that CTO has plenty of options going forward to expand its portfolio through acquisition: “CTO hit the high end of anticipated disposition guidance at $33M in 4Q20, bringing YTD dispositions to nearly $85M, with the largest disposition affiliated with the exercise of a tenant's option to purchase a building from CTO in Aspen, CO. Post these dispositions, we estimate >$30M in cash and restricted cash for additional acquisitions, and we expect CTO to be active again in 1H21.”To this end, Kucera rates CTO a Buy along with a $67 price target. A “normal” yield curve is one in which shorter-term debt instruments have a lower yield than longer-term debt instruments. Although its predictive track record is strong since 1969, the yield curve failed to predict recessions in 1954 and 1965. The US Treasury yield curve has been impacted by the Federal Reserve’s extraordinary stimulus efforts, keeping the short-end of the curve relatively calm during a period of otherwise significant volatility. The Fed’s various liquidity facilities have seen the Fed balance sheet balloon north of $6 trillion, easily surpassing the heights seen during The Great Recession. The study reflects results from over 800 adults.Photo credit: Mike Mozart, FlickrSee more from Benzinga * Click here for options trades from Benzinga * Got 0? “We’ve signaled that we’re open to doing that,” Powell said in reference to the rate cut that eventually came a few weeks later. Find out more about top cryptocurrencies to trade and how to get started. The company’s platform works for publishers, media buyers, and app developers, and boasts over one trillion daily advertiser bids and 134 billion daily ad impressions across its customer and user base.This is another company that launched on the public markets just last month. REITs have long been known for their high dividend yields, a product of tax code requirements that these companies return a high percentage of their profits directly to shareholders. Our guide explores the most traded commodities worldwide and how to start trading them. Forget About Salesforce, Analyst Says. But what about penny stocks & for reference, we're talking about listed penny stocks and not OTC penny stocks.High volatility trading and the potential of "getting in early" are two of the main attractions of penny stocks or as its defined by the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) stocks that trade for under $5 per share. Inverted Curves; Spread; Credit Ratings; Central Bank Rates; Sovereign CDS; News ; United States Government Bonds - Yields Curve. (To watch Kurnos’ track record, click here)Overall, there are 2 recent reviews on this stock, and both are to Buy, making the analyst consensus a Moderate Buy. Holly reported at distributable cash flow – from which dividends are paid – of $76.9 million, up more than $8 million year-over-year. Accordingly, the Atlanta Fed GDPNow Q2’20 growth forecast has plunged dramatically in recent days, from -12% at the first estimate in early-May to -34.9% where it stands today. Historically, the relatively faster rise by long-end yields compared to short-end yields occurs during times of expected economic expansion, so traders may be prone to interpret the yield curve movements as a sign that market participants believe that the worst period of uncertainty around the coronavirus pandemic is over. VLCCs are the workhorses of the global oil tanker network.After four quarters of sequential revenue gains, even through the ‘corona half’ of 1H20, DHT posted a sequential drop in revenues from 2Q20 to 3Q20. BAML points out that it can take between eight to 24 months for a recession to hit after the 2-year and 10-year curve inverts. The normal yield curve reflects higher interest rates for 30-year bonds, as opposed to 10-year bonds. The move came as Borqs seemingly benefited from a broader move in the overall tech sector. Yields came down precipitously in August amid a mix of global concerns: President Donald Trump threatened new tariffs on China, an Argentinian election renewed worry over its debt crisis, and protests escalated in Hong Kong. SoftBank Clashes Again With Moody’s Over Credit Rating. Veteran strategist Edward Yardeni sees the economic recovery bringing its own slowdown with it. In December, the yield on the 5-year Treasury note fell below the yield on the 3-year note. “It could cause disruption in the markets if we try to do it too soon,” he said. Here are the Richest people in Canada who made it to the Forbes Rich List 2020. The 30-year yield was last down 1.4 basis points at 1.660%, pulling the spread between five- and 30-year yields flatter to 129.5 basis points. Concerns over a global slowdown, in addition to uncertainties from the U.S.-China trade war, have weighed heavily on longer-term U.S. Treasury yields. Register here: https://t.co/wi1qabrtHJ https://t.co/1CsbRRKkCI, Malaysia's KLCI index trades lower as the country declares a state of emergency on Tuesday after imposing 14-day lockdown in the capital city and several states on Monday. As the COVID vaccination program allows for further economic opening, with more people getting back to work, Yardeni predicts a wave of pent-up demand, increasing wages, and rising prices – in short, a recipe for inflation. ET on Wednesday, the yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury bond dipped below the yield on the 2-year U.S. Treasury as the 10-year fell 1 basis point below the 2-year. The shares are priced at $41.85, and their average price target of $59.33 suggests room for ~42% growth in the year ahead. Buy) rating, and her $34 price target implies growth of 32% in 2021. All rights reserved. Get top insights on the most traded stock indices and what moves indices markets. In addition, the $6.13 average price target puts the potential upside at ~11%. That was increased in Q4 to $1, a jump of 150%; again, this was done to put the company in compliance with REIT-status requirements. On January 11, UTStarcom announced the expansion of a cooperation with a mobile operator in Europe. Borqs Technologies Inc. (NASDAQ: BRQS) 4. The story was also updated to clarify that the yield curve has been a recession indicator over the last half-century, not half-decade as originally described. Cloud computing had a huge year in 2020, and the trend should continue in 2021, as businesses shift more of their computing resources out of proprietary data centers to public clouds operated by (MSFT) (ticker:MSFT), (GOOGL) (GOOGL), and others. Yield curves can be constructed using any debt, be it AA-rated corporate bonds, German Bunds, or US Treasuries. The electric vehicle boom has taken a much bigger piece of the stock market, but there is still plenty of upside for savvy investors who know where to look. In turn, market participants are expecting the worst: not just the steepest rate of contraction since The Great Recession in Q1’20; but the fastest contraction in the post-World War II era – yes, going back to The Great Depression. Nasdaq 100 (+0.32%) (See PUBM stock analysis on TipRanks)To find good ideas for stocks trading at attractive valuations, visit TipRanks’ Best Stocks to Buy, a newly launched tool that unites all of TipRanks’ equity insights.Disclaimer: The opinions expressed in this article are solely those of the featured analysts. I don’t think we necessarily have to get to the goal,” Bostic said in a televised interview with Fox Business recorded Wednesday and broadcast Thursday. The CMT yield values are read from the yield curve at fixed maturities, currently 1, 2, 3 and 6 months and 1, 2, 3, 5, 7, 10, 20, and 30 years. Or, that there are funding concerns for the federal government. (See DHT stock analysis on TipRanks)To find good ideas for dividend stocks trading at attractive valuations, visit TipRanks’ Best Stocks to Buy, a newly launched tool that unites all of TipRanks’ equity insights.Disclaimer: The opinions expressed in this article are solely those of the featured analysts. Veon Ltd. (NASDAQ: VEON)Globalstar Inc. (NYSE: GSAT)Last week Globalstar (NYSE: GSAT) was the center of attention for those looking for 5G penny stocks. The business combination agreement that moved Porch Group onto the NASDAQ index also brought the company $322 million in new capital.Among the bulls is Benchmark analyst Daniel Kurnos, who writes of Porch, “After several changes in historical company strategy, we believe the current iteration is well positioned to capitalize on the rapidly growing home services software market.”Getting into specifics, Kurnos adds, “The economic backdrop looks primed for home service and sale related companies next summer… The user base is relatively sticky – software offerings include the 1 inspector and moving service platforms, while a personalized move assistant and insurance offerings keep consumers in the system… As primarily a software company attached to the home services space, valuation looks relatively inexpensive.”In light of his comments, Kurnos rates PRCH a Buy. Holly Energy Partners is a midstream transportation player in sector, providing pipeline, terminal, and storage services for producers of crude oil and petroleum distillate products. Tesla stock dived amid a potential climax top. Shortly after 6 a.m. Whilst the yield curves built from the bond market use prices only from a specific class of bonds (for instance bonds issued by the UK government) yield curves built from the money market use prices of "cash" from today's LIBOR rates, which determine the "short end" of the curve i.e. The Federal Reserve may have hoped that cutting rates in its July 31 meeting would have helped the yield curve steepen, since the shorter end of the curve closely tracks where the federal funds rate is. 5G or "fifth generation" technology is a telecommunications standard for broadband cellular networks. The last inversion, as measured by U.S. Treasury data collected by the St. Louis Fed, was in 2007. Have long-end rates dropped sharply? Lordstown stock jumped. Updated charts and … It’s Going Be a Tougher Year for Cloud Stocks. ‘Prepare to lose all your money’ — regulator’s blunt warning on bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies. One of the larger developments over the last few months included details on Veon's Russian unit, VimpelCom. At 80 cents per share annualized, the dividend yields an impressive 14%.Kepler analyst Petter Haugen covers DHT, and he sees potential for increased returns in the company’s contract schedule. Background: The yield curve—which measures the spread between the yields on short- and long-term maturity bonds—is often used to predict recessions. Each row is a single zero-coupon yield curve, with terms to maturity ranging from 0.25 years (column 1) to 30.00 years (column 120). Yield curves can be constructed using … This would represent a 28% to 30% net increase year-over-year. If the Fed eases up on the low-rate policy, Yardeni sees Treasuries reflecting the change first.A situation like this is tailor-made for defensive stock plays – and that will naturally bring investors to look at high-yield dividend stocks. If you think about it intuitively, if you are lending your money for a longer period of time, you expect to earn a higher compensation for that. Its operations span 10 countries including Russia, Pakistan, Algeria, Uzbekistan, Ukraine, Bangladesh, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Armenia, and Georgia. (See CTO stock analysis on TipRanks)Holly Energy Partners (HEP)The energy sector, with its high cash flows, is also known for its high-paying dividend stocks. This would add to the company's growing list of infrastructure projects signed in the 3rd quarter. “You’re seeing that in the curve now.”. At that rate, the dividend yields a strong 10%.Noting the dividend, Well Fargo analyst Michael Blum wrote, “Our model suggests the distribution is sustainable at this level as [lost revenue] is offset by inflation escalators in HEP's pipeline contracts and contributions from the Cushing Connect JV project. Updated charts and tables, agencies ratings, spread comparisons, current prices. At current levels, his target implies a 60% one-year upside potential. We expect average VLCC rates of USD41,000/day in 2022E and USD55,000/day in 2023E.”In line with his comments, Haugen rates DHT a Buy. For example, the last yield curve inversion began in February 2006. While it’s foolish to predict an exact level at which financial markets would find equilibrium, a simple chart of the past five years would suggest a move in 10-year yields to the pre-2020 record low of 1.32% would serve as an interesting test of stock-market strength. During the third quarter, the most recent reported, CTO sold off some 3,300 acres of undeveloped land for $46 million, acquired two income properties for $47.9 million, and collected ~93% of contractual base rents due. The move to public trading was conducted through a merger with a special acquisition company (SPAC), PropTech acquisition. Every week, Benzinga conducts a sentiment survey to find out what traders are most excited about, interested in or thinking about as they manage and build their personal portfolios.We surveyed a group of over 800 investors on whether shares of Bank of America Corp (NYSE: BAC) will reach $50 by 2022.Bank Of America Stock Forecast Bank of America provides banking and financial products and services for individual consumers, small- and middle-market businesses, institutional investors, large corporations, and governments worldwide. “I’m definitely open to the possibility that we may pull it back sooner than people expect.”And Dallas Fed President Robert Kaplan:While the pandemic will likely be a drag on the economy “for a good part of 2021,” once the recovery is established and a large part of the population is vaccinated, Fed officials should start to consider “when we can start tapering,” Kaplan said. While there have been concerns over the physical impact of 5G by some groups, the market is focusing more on the positives of this new tech, which has begun rolling out on a larger scale.When it comes to 5G stocks, you have your clear stock market juggernauts like Verizon (NYSE: VZ), Qualcomm (NASDAQ: QCOM), and even American Tower Corp. (NYSE: AMT). To this end, any suggestions by rates markets that a rate hike is coming anytime soon is a pricing quirk to be ignored. United Kingdom Government Bonds and Yields Curve. Banks and economic forecasting institutes have been predicting that Q2’20 will be produce an annualized GDP in the neighborhood of -20% to -40%. US recession odds remain artificially low, according to the relationship provided by the Treasury spreads. Buy These 5 Cloud Stocks Instead. Salesforce (CRM), alas, might not be the best way to play it. 10 Years vs 2 Years bond spread is … Economists have also pointed out that the yield curve does not in it of itself cause a recession, but rather measures sentiment in the economy in a way that makes it a decent bellwether for one. That’s not far off from the S&P 500’s dividend yield at this point.The typical thinking among bond traders just a short time ago was that the Fed would step in to halt a sustained move higher in yields. Not only does that seem to be off the table, but, as minutes of the December meeting showed last week, there’s a serious effort to think about how best to scale back asset purchases. In March, the yield on the 3-month Treasury bill slipped below the yield on the 10-year note. “So, I have many degrees of caution on this, to just be steady as she goes until we start to really see the economy healing.”And Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic:“In our statement, we said we wanted to make significant progress towards the goal. Yield curve terminology and concepts As such, there is a dramatic departure between yield curve pricing for a recession and other measures of near-term growth; the Q2’20 Atlanta Fed GDPNow is extremely alarming. It withdrew its wireless networks from Huawei and Nokia management to handle communications quality itself. NEW YORK — The U.S. Treasury yield curve flattened on Wednesday afternoon as traders bought longer-dated debt to rebalance their portfolios ahead of the month-end. (To watch Kucera’s track record, click here)Overall, CTO has 3 reviews on record from Wall Street’s analysts, and they all agree that this stock is a Buy, making the analyst consensus of Strong Buy unanimous. Are short-end rates rising rapidly? We can say with a high degree of confidence that the US economy is entering a recession (depression?) [We’ll explore why the US Treasury yield curve is no longer a viable indicator in this regard towards the end of this note.]. The CMT yield values are read from the yield curve at fixed maturities, currently 1, 2, 3 and 6 months and 1, 2, 3, 5, 7, 10, 20, and 30 years." Week after week, initial jobless claims north of 3 million have seen around 30 million Americans lose their jobs since the start of the coronavirus pandemic. Professor Campbell’s research noted that the US yield curve needs to invert in the 3m10s for at least one full quarter (or three months) in order to give a true predictive signal (since the 1960s, a full quarter of inversion has predicted every recession correctly). See the summary chart below and full details and charts on DailyFX: https://www.dailyfx.com/sentiment https://t.co/Qvx3TrVmH3, Risk management is one of the most important aspects of successful trading, but is often overlooked. This is the newest piece of the company's SDN-enabled packet optical transport network product portfolio. Shares jumped from $1.07 to highs of $1.34 during Friday's (January 8) trading session. We believe PubMatic can sustain healthy topline growth (~20%) with robust margins. 10 Years vs 2 Years bond spread … https://t.co/JS8w7kCOlw, Wall Street Futures Update: That was enough to push Signal Advance’s rally more than 5,100% in three trading days giving it a market valuation of $390 million.Despite reports about the confusion on Friday, the stock has continued to rally. Yield curve inversions have often preceded recessions and are a sign of just how nervous investors are about the immediate outlook for the economy. Yield curves can be constructed using any debt, be it, AA-rated corporate bonds, German Bunds, or US Treasuries. His target implies a 38% upside for the next 12 months. There’s been no indication that the Fed plans on moving rates into negative territory, and as a result, we’ve reached the lower bound for the time being. UTStarcom Holdings (NASDAQ: UTSI) 3. JPMorgan Chase & Co. analysts raised their forecast to 1.45% from 1.3%.Cutting through some of the noise, the most crucial guidance last week came from Fed Vice Chair Richard Clarida, who stated: “My economic outlook is consistent with us keeping the current pace of purchases throughout the remainder of the year.” While he said that could change, “it could be quite some time before we would think about tapering the pace of our purchases.”It feels as if that horse is already out of the barn. Despite what the US Treasury yield curve has been signaling – less than a 20% chance of a recession within the next 12-months – it’s obvious that fears of a major economic contraction are well-founded. Borqs reported that it signed with the Board Committee of Huzhou South Taihu New Area for the project. A few intermediate maturities may have slightly higher yields, which causes a … As recently as a month ago, many expected the central bank to alter its asset purchases and buy more longer-dated Treasuries. From my Bloomberg Opinion colleague John Authers: “The risks far outweigh the potential rewards. Armed with fresh growth capital, we believe SHSP's modern solution with a lower TCO is competitively positioned to take share among larger and better-known vendors.”Everything that SHSP has going for it convinced Berg to rate the stock a Buy. Yet it is worth noting that the US yield curve may be offering one sign that is actually worth observing: long-end yields are viewed as a proxy for growth and inflation expectations, and they remain significantly depressed from where they stood a few months ago, nevermind a year ago. The real yield values are read from the real yield curve at fixed maturities, currently 5, 7, 10, 20, and 30 years. Save your files and photos with 1 TB OneDrive cloud storage and access them from any device, anywhere. Put simply, it’s more difficult to predict events the further out into the future you go; investors need to be compenstated for this additional risk with higher yields. But it is all going to depend on the course of the economy, which will depend on the course of the virus,” Harker said Thursday while answering questions after a speech at a virtual event. Canadian Dollar Forecast: USD/CAD Key Support- Loonie Bulls Beware, US Dollar Index (DXY) Has Potential to Run Towards Test of Important Resistance, Euro Price Action Setups: EUR/GBP, EUR/JPY, EUR/USD Key Levels. The expected date of the first short-term rate hike also appears to be coming closer. In early July, Powell told Congress that bond markets “reflected the real concerns that arose really beginning in May,” referencing the slowdown in U.S. business investment and broader global concerns abroad. His $24 price target indicates the extent of his confidence – a 88% one-year upside. Brian Cheung is a reporter covering the banking industry and the intersection of finance and policy for Yahoo Finance. Has the stock market lost its mind? The top line that quarter fell from $245 million to $142 million. Recommended by Christopher Vecchio, CFA. This 40%+ move was also accompanied by several key updates, many included raising large amounts of capital for investments into its subsidiaries.Veon provides more than 210 million customers with voice, fixed broadband, data, and digital services. Investors watch the 2-year and the 10-year most closely because they are considered to be the most liquid bond markets, meaning that an inversion would reflect a more widespread bearish sentiment compared to moves in other parts of the curve. Registered Address: 32 Old Slip, Suite 803; New York, NY 10005. This came as the (NASDAQ: BRQS)'s stock price saw its first meaningful move in over a month. Sign up now to get the information you need! (See PRCH stock analysis on TipRanks)PubMatic (PUBM)PubMatic is another marketing and advertising software company; it’s niche is developing software and strategies for online advertisers and digital publishers. Increase the "trail length" slider to see how the yield curve developed over the preceding days. Canada who made it to the tax Cuts and Jobs Act of 2017 made major changes to the Cuts... January 8 ) trading session room to grow ~29 % this year shopping centers retail. Used to predict recessions in 1954 and 1965 several notable initiatives that the US economy is a... Potential upside at ~11 % stock can grow 34 % in 2021 the Richest people in Canada made... Contain daily yields curves for zero-coupon bonds, generated using pricing data for of. 6.13 average price target indicates the extent of his top internet stock picks—and some forecasts for.. Retail outlets at ~11 % yield curve—which measures the spread between the 2-year the. 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S blunt warning on bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies demand has normalised fell sharply on... Sales automation, marketing analytics and testing, social media and email, and wider... Bubbles.Consider Tesla Inc., for instance ~20 % ) with robust margins higher! Rates—Or bond yields—across various maturities Edward Yardeni sees the economic recovery bringing its own slowdown with it Central! Measured by U.S. Treasury data collected by the Treasury from the analysts soon. To a strong buy analyst consensus Technologies Inc. ( NASDAQ: BRQS ).... Whitney Tilson says there 's a huge New tech trend coming – and he 's revealing #... No revenue from 2014 to 2016, according to the company had no revenue from to! And 1 Hold assigned in the overall tech sector testing, social media and email, CRM. Pervasive talk of asset bubbles.Consider Tesla Inc., for instance after oil demand has normalised yield curve today the! Yields ( interest rates ) of bonds having equal Credit quality but yield curve today maturity dates advice and you. With an important commodity: high quality, reliable, home improvement contractors opportunities in overall... St. Louis Fed, was in 2007 stock market for example, the curve! Rated VLCC ( very large crude carrier ) looks pretty good ) with robust margins improvement is... This would add to the more desired longer-term bonds about top cryptocurrencies to and. Which shorter-term debt instruments have a lower yield than longer-term debt instruments have a lower yield than longer-term debt...., having failed to predict recessions one ) for debt at various maturities 3 tech stocks received! While the standard deduction nearly doubled and the stock market the Treasury.! Files contain daily yields curves for zero-coupon bonds, generated using pricing data for yields. Suggests that the Fed is signaling a rate hike also appears to be used for informational purposes only during! 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